Reviewed 12 August 2026 · Sourced from the SEC's investor education pages, Regulation G and the SEC staff's non-GAAP interpretations, FINRA Rule 2241, and the published work of Campbell, Shiller, Siegel, Asness and Easterwood
A price-to-earnings ratio is a share price divided by earnings per share — the price of one dollar of annual earnings, so a P/E of 20 means you are handing over $20 for a claim on $1 a year.
It exists because a share price alone is meaningless. Nothing about $8 a share is cheap and nothing about $800 a share is expensive until you know what the business earns behind each share. P/E converts a price into a common unit that can be set beside another company, another year, or a bond yield. That is a real service, and the whole difficulty is that one of the two inputs is a hard fact and the other one is not.
- The formula is share price ÷ earnings per share. The SEC's investor education glossary calculates it “by dividing the current stock price by the current earnings per share,” with EPS taken from “the earnings for the past 12 months” — that is, trailing. Notice what the SEC does not do: name a good number.
- Read it as a price, not a score. A P/E of 20 is $20 paid for $1 of annual earnings. Turn it upside down and you get the earnings yield — 1 ÷ 20 = 5% — which is the only form comparable to an interest rate.
- The numerator is a fact and the denominator is an opinion. Price comes from a continuous auction. Earnings comes out of accrual accounting, where revenue timing, depreciation schedules, reserves and write-off timing are all management judgment applied within GAAP.
- A P/E on adjusted earnings is a different number from a P/E on GAAP earnings. Regulation G, 17 CFR § 244.100, requires a company presenting a non-GAAP measure to also present “the most directly comparable” GAAP measure and “a reconciliation (by schedule or other clearly understandable method).” The rule exists because the flattering version is the one that gets promoted.
- Forward P/E uses analyst estimates, and those estimates carry documented optimism. Easterwood and Nutt, Journal of Finance 54(5), 1999, found analysts “underreact to negative information, but overreact to positive information,” a pattern they call consistent with “systematic optimism.”
- Negative earnings do not produce a high P/E. They produce no P/E. And near-zero earnings produce an arithmetically enormous one that carries no information — at a $40 share price, EPS of five cents is a P/E of 800.
- There is no authoritative “fair” P/E. No agency and no standards body publishes one. This page will not print one either, because the number would be a convention pretending to be a threshold.
What the ratio is actually pricing
Two companies, same industry, same screener, same afternoon. One row says P/E 12, the other says P/E 34. Nothing on the screen says whether either number used earnings already reported or earnings an analyst expects — or whether those earnings are the audited ones in the filing or the flattering ones in the press release. Four defensible numbers exist for each company. The screener printed one and did not say which.
P/E = share price ÷ earnings per shareThe SEC's investor education glossary puts it the same way: the ratio “is calculated by dividing the current stock price by the current earnings per share,” where “earnings per share are calculated by dividing the earnings for the past 12 months by the number of common shares outstanding.” The same fraction works a level up, as total market value over total profit, which is why market cap and P/E are two readings of one thing.
The framing that makes it click
A P/E is the price of one dollar of annual earnings. Not a rating, not a grade, not a signal — a price, in dollars per dollar-per-year.
Northbay Tool, hypothetical. Share price $60.00, earnings per share over the last four reported quarters $3.00.
P/E = $60.00 ÷ $3.00 = 20.0.
Two correct readings: you are paying $20 for every $1 of annual earnings, or the price equals 20 years of earnings at this year's rate of profit.
The second is how this site's Markets · Fundamental page phrases it — “how many years of current profit you are paying for.” The words “current profit” carry the whole problem.
Flip it and you get a yield
Almost everything else in finance is quoted as a percentage per year, so invert the ratio.
earnings yield = EPS ÷ price = 1 ÷ (P/E)Northbay: $3.00 ÷ $60.00 = 5.0%, which is 1 ÷ 20. A P/E of 10 is a 10% earnings yield, 25 is 4%, 50 is 2%. The earnings yield is the form that lets a stock sit beside a bond, because both are finally percentages per year.
Setting the market's earnings yield against a government bond yield is an old habit with a named, published criticism. Clifford Asness, “Fight the Fed Model,” Journal of Portfolio Management 30(1), Fall 2003, argues the comparison “is erroneous as it compares a real number (P/E) to a nominal one,” because nominal corporate earnings already move with inflation and a bond's coupon does not. Use it if you like; do not treat it as arithmetic that settles anything.
P/E is the price of a dollar of annual earnings. The price part is a fact; the earnings part is an accounting output, and every argument about a P/E is really an argument about that half of the fraction.
The numerator is a fact and the denominator is an opinion
This is the honest core of the page, and almost nothing written about P/E says it plainly.
The price is a fact. It came out of a continuous auction, it is timestamped, it is observable to the penny, and nobody's judgment produced it. Two people looking at the same stock at the same instant see the same price.
The earnings are not a fact in that sense. Earnings per share is the bottom line of an income statement prepared under US generally accepted accounting principles, and GAAP is a rulebook that requires estimates, not a measuring instrument. Inside it, honest management makes choices that move reported profit:
- Revenue recognition timing — when control transfers, how refunds are estimated, how a multi-year contract is spread across periods.
- Depreciation and amortization — a longer assumed useful life means a smaller annual charge and higher reported earnings from the identical asset.
- Reserves and allowances — expected credit losses, warranty reserves, inventory write-downs. Each is a forecast that lands in this period's profit.
- Write-off and impairment timing — not whether a bad asset is bad, but which quarter that gets recognized in.
- Capitalize or expense — a cost released over years lifts this year's earnings against the same cost expensed now.
None of that is fraud. Judgment inside GAAP is legal, disclosed in the accounting-policy notes, and unavoidable. But it means two honest managements running identical businesses can report different earnings, and therefore different P/E ratios at identical prices.
A ratio is only as solid as its weakest input. P/E has one input you can verify in a second and one you would have to read a whole annual report to evaluate. When somebody quotes a P/E to three significant figures, the precision is coming entirely from the numerator.
Two consequences. Cash is harder to flatter than profit — harder, not impossible — which is why cash-based measures sit beside earnings-based ones on any serious screen. Do not mistake harder for authoritative: free cash flow is itself a non-GAAP measure with no standard definition, which is the most important fact about it. Reading the income statement against the cash flow statement is the real skill, and it is what Stages 2 and 3 of Fundamental Analysis are for.
And the share count under EPS carries the same ambiguity as the share count under market cap. Diluted EPS uses a larger count than basic, so it is the smaller EPS and the higher P/E. That whole problem — issued, treasury, basic, diluted — is worked through on market capitalization and applies here unchanged.
Trailing, forward, and the one nobody labels
There are two common P/E ratios, they answer different questions, and the quoted number usually does not say which it is.
| Version | The earnings it uses | How it fails |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing (TTM) | The last four reported quarters, as filed. A number the company has signed for. | Stale. Up to a quarter out of date, and it describes the business that existed. |
| Forward | A consensus of analyst estimates for the next twelve months or fiscal year. | It is a forecast. If the estimate is wrong, so was the ratio. |
| Blended or “current” | Reported quarters plus estimated quarters, mixed. | Part fact, part forecast, and the mix is rarely disclosed. |
Northbay Tool again, at $60.00 a share.
Trailing EPS $3.00 → trailing P/E = 60 ÷ 3.00 = 20.0.
Consensus estimate for next year $4.00 → forward P/E = 60 ÷ 4.00 = 15.0.
Now suppose next year's earnings land at $3.20 instead. The real forward multiple was 60 ÷ 3.20 = 18.75.
The stock never looked like 15 for any reason connected to the stock. It looked like 15 because a forecast said so, and the forecast was 25% high. Nothing about the price changed.
Analyst estimates lean optimistic, and this is documented
The forward P/E is only as good as the estimate under it, and the direction of the error is not random. Easterwood and Nutt, “Inefficiency in Analysts' Earnings Forecasts: Systematic Misreaction or Systematic Optimism?”, Journal of Finance 54(5), 1999, found that analysts “underreact to negative information, but overreact to positive information” — a pattern they describe as consistent with “systematic optimism in response to information.”
Regulators treat the tilt as real too. The SEC's investor publication on analyst recommendations warns that investors “should not rely solely on an analyst's recommendation” and should understand “the potential conflicts of interest analysts might face.” And FINRA Rule 2241(c)(2) requires a firm to print, in every research report carrying a rating, the percentage of its rated securities it assigns to buy, hold and sell, plus the share of companies in each bucket for which it has done investment banking in the previous 12 months. A disclosure rule of that shape does not get written unless the distribution is worth looking at.
You will see a specific claim repeated everywhere: that some large share of analyst ratings are buys and almost none are sells. This page does not print that figure, because we could not trace a current authoritative count of it. Each firm's own distribution is real and published, by the rule above; the aggregate ratio people quote is not sourced.
Practical version: an unlabeled P/E is probably trailing and worth checking, and a forward P/E is a price divided by somebody's opinion about the future.
GAAP earnings, adjusted earnings, and why Regulation G exists
Most large companies report earnings twice on the same day: the GAAP figure that goes into the filing, and an “adjusted,” “pro forma” or “non-GAAP” figure in the press release, usually in a larger font and nearly always higher. The typical add-backs are stock-based compensation, restructuring, acquisition-related amortization, impairments, litigation settlements, and items labeled one-time that turn up again next year.
Crosscut Systems, hypothetical. 200,000,000 shares at $30.00, so market cap $6.0 billion.
GAAP. Net income $300,000,000. EPS = $300M ÷ 200M = $1.50. P/E = $30.00 ÷ $1.50 = 20.0. Earnings yield 5.0%.
Adjusted. Management adds back $120M of stock-based compensation, $60M of restructuring and $30M of acquisition-related amortization — $210M, shown here before any tax effect, which a real reconciliation would carry. Adjusted net income $510M, adjusted EPS $2.55, P/E = $30.00 ÷ $2.55 = 11.8. Earnings yield 8.5%.
P/E 20 and P/E 12 for the same company, at the same price, in the same hour. Both arithmetically correct. A headline saying “trading at twelve times earnings” is not lying and is not telling you the whole thing.
The rule that makes this checkable
Regulation G, 17 CFR § 244.100, requires that whenever a company publicly discloses a material non-GAAP financial measure it must also give “a presentation of the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles” and “a reconciliation (by schedule or other clearly understandable method)” between the two. It also forbids a presentation that “contains an untrue statement of a material fact or omits to state a material fact necessary in order to make the presentation of the non-GAAP financial measure…not misleading.” Congress ordered the rule: Sarbanes-Oxley § 401(b), codified at 15 U.S.C. § 7261(b).
The SEC staff has gone further. Its non-GAAP interpretations state at Question 100.04 that an adjustment changing “the recognition and measurement principles required to be applied in accordance with GAAP would be considered individually tailored and may cause the presentation of a non-GAAP measure to be misleading.” Question 102.10 covers undue prominence — putting the non-GAAP figure first, styling it in bold or larger type, or discussing it without a similar discussion of the GAAP figure.
The reconciliation is a table, it is required, and it sits in the earnings release and the annual report. It names every add-back and its dollar amount. Reading it takes two minutes and tells you what the adjusted number left out — the difference between a P/E of 12 and a P/E of 20 above.
One note, because it is the largest add-back at most technology companies. Stock-based compensation is a real cost. Adding it back does not make it vanish; it reappears as shares, enlarging the count in the denominator of EPS over time. A P/E excluding it is measuring a company that pays its people in something free, and no such company exists.
When the ratio means nothing, which is often
P/E gets quoted as though it always has content. It does not. Four ordinary situations leave the number undefined or actively misleading, and between them they cover a large share of listed companies.
1. Negative earnings: there is no P/E
If a company lost money over the period, EPS is negative and so is the ratio. A negative P/E is not a high P/E and not an expensive stock. It is a fraction that has stopped meaning anything — “the price of one dollar of earnings” presupposes a dollar of earnings.
Careful data providers print a blank, an em dash or N/A rather than a number — the discipline this site applies everywhere, since on the Markets pages a metric that cannot be computed renders as an em dash, never as zero. If you see a negative P/E, the honest reading is “this company is not profitable,” and you go look at revenue, cash burn and the balance sheet instead.
2. Near-zero earnings: the ratio explodes
As the denominator approaches zero the ratio approaches infinity, so a company scraping past break-even generates a spectacular P/E carrying no information at all.
| Share price | EPS | P/E | What it tells you |
|---|---|---|---|
| $40.00 | $1.00 | 40 | A high multiple, and a real one |
| $40.00 | $0.20 | 200 | Arithmetic, not information |
| $40.00 | $0.05 | 800 | Noise — a rounding difference moves it hundreds of points |
| $40.00 | $0.00 | — | Undefined |
| $40.00 | −$0.05 | −800 | Meaningless |
Our own arithmetic, on a $40 price. The shape is the point: between EPS of five cents and minus five cents the P/E travels from 800 to nothing to −800, and the business is identical in all three rows.
3. Cyclical businesses: the P/E looks lowest at the top
This one costs real money, because the failure runs backwards from intuition. In a cyclical business — steel, chemicals, shipping, homebuilding, autos, energy — earnings swing hard with the cycle. At the peak, earnings are highest, so the denominator is largest, so the P/E is lowest exactly when the earnings are least sustainable. At the trough, the reverse.
Harbor Steel, hypothetical, one complete cycle. EPS by year: Year 1 $8.00, Year 2 $4.00, Year 3 $0.80, Year 4 $3.20, Year 5 $6.00.
Average earnings across the five years: ($8.00 + $4.00 + $0.80 + $3.20 + $6.00) ÷ 5 = $4.40.
At the peak (Year 1). Price $80.00, trailing EPS $8.00. Trailing P/E = 80 ÷ 8.00 = 10.0. Against average earnings: 80 ÷ 4.40 = 18.2.
At the trough (Year 3). Price $40.00, trailing EPS $0.80. Trailing P/E = 40 ÷ 0.80 = 50.0. Against average earnings: 40 ÷ 4.40 = 9.1.
On trailing earnings the peak printed 10 and the trough printed 50. Measured against the company's own average earnings the ordering reverses — 18.2 at the peak, 9.1 at the trough. Two ratios, opposite rankings, same five years of the same company.
That reversal is not a trick of the example. It is what one year of earnings does to a fraction when earnings are volatile, and it is the reason the cyclically adjusted ratio below exists.
4. Asset-heavy and asset-light earnings are not the same object
Depreciation is subtracted before you reach net income, so how capital-intensive a business is changes what “earnings” represents. A steel mill's depreciation charge stands in for machinery that wears out and has to be replaced with cash; a software company's largest cost is people, and its profit sits much closer to cash generation. Comparing the P/E of a mill with the P/E of a software business compares two differently constructed denominators, which is why sector-relative comparison is the only version that holds up. Earnings are also struck after interest, so a heavily indebted company's profit is a levered number and its P/E can look modest while the whole enterprise, debt included, is priced quite differently — the enterprise value point on market capitalization.
There is no good P/E, and a low one is not a discount
The most common question about this ratio is what number is good. The honest answer is that no authority publishes one. No statute, regulator, accounting standards board or exchange defines a fair, cheap or expensive multiple. Every threshold you have been quoted is a convention, true only in the sense that enough people repeat it. This page will not print one, because printing it would dress a habit up as a rule.
What survives scrutiny is comparison rather than a level, and all three versions are shaky:
- The same company against its own history — weakening as the business changes. A company that swapped hardware revenue for subscriptions is not the company whose ten-year average you are quoting.
- Close competitors, on the same earnings definition — which means checking that both figures are trailing or both forward, both GAAP or both adjusted.
- The sector — useful as context, and draggable a long way by a few very large members or one company with near-zero earnings.
A low P/E is as often a warning as a bargain
The value trap is the standard failure. A low multiple is not a discount from an inattentive market; it is usually a forecast that earnings are going to fall. If the denominator drops next year, today's low P/E was measuring profit the company is about to stop making. This site's Markets · Fundamental page says it in a line: “a low P/E usually means the market expects earnings to fall, not that the stock is cheap. Cheap and falling look identical on a screener.”
And a high P/E can be perfectly rational
The denominator is one year of earnings. If that year is a small fraction of what the business will earn later, a large multiple of it is not automatically an overpayment.
Two hypothetical companies, both at $40.00 a share.
Steadyline. EPS $3.33, flat. P/E = 40 ÷ 3.33 = 12.0, and still 12 in five years.
Fastbridge. EPS $1.00 today, growing 25% a year. P/E today = 40 ÷ 1.00 = 40.0. Five years of 25% growth: $1.00 × 1.255 = $3.05. Against Year 5 earnings, the same $40 price is 40 ÷ 3.05 = 13.1.
The 40 and the 12 are not measuring the same thing. That is the argument for paying a high multiple — and it rests entirely on five consecutive years of 25% growth happening, which is a forecast, which is the same weak input the forward P/E has.
Neither example is a verdict. They are arithmetic, shown so that “high P/E” and “low P/E” stop working as an insult and a compliment. A low multiple can be a dying business and a high multiple a growing one; the multiple alone does not tell you which, and no threshold will do that work for you.
P/E is the first of the nine metrics in the reference on Markets · Fundamental — each given with its formula, its use and the way it misleads — and a sortable column in the free screener there, beside market cap, EPS growth, debt-to-equity and dividend yield. The single-company view returns P/E and EPS for any symbol you type. The order of operations behind it — statements first, valuation last — is Stages 2 through 4 of Fundamental Analysis. Earlier than that, Stage 4 of the free Financial Literacy course is the plain-language version, and all five stages are free with no account.
CAPE, PEG, and why an index P/E is a different animal
Three variations you will meet. Each fixes something and each adds a problem.
CAPE, the cyclically adjusted P/E
Robert Shiller, who developed the measure with John Campbell, addresses the cyclical problem above by replacing one year of earnings with a long average. In their update of “Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook” the method is stated directly: “we smooth earnings by taking an average of real earnings over the past ten years.” Real means inflation-adjusted, so the ten years sit in comparable dollars — the inflation adjustment is necessary work, not decoration. Shiller publishes the underlying monthly US series, back to 1871, free.
Two things to hold. It is an index-level measure, built for the market as a whole rather than one stock. And its record as a timing tool is contested. Jeremy Siegel, “The Shiller CAPE Ratio: A New Look,” Financial Analysts Journal 72(3), 2016, argues that changes in how GAAP earnings are computed biased CAPE's recent readings toward pessimism — note what that argument is: a dispute about the denominator, the theme of this whole page. Campbell and Shiller themselves declined to over-claim, writing of the January 2000 reading: “We do not find this extreme forecast credible; when the independent variable has moved so far from the historically observed range, we cannot trust a linear regression line.”
PEG, and what it actually divides
PEG = (P/E) ÷ earnings growth rateThe idea is reasonable: a multiple should be read against how fast earnings are growing. The convention that a PEG below 1 marks something “reasonable” is exactly that — a convention with no derivation and no body publishing it. This site's own metric reference lists PEG second and states the trap in a line: it is “entirely dependent on a growth forecast, and forecasts are wrong.”
Be blunt about the structure. PEG divides an accounting output by a forecast. The numerator carries every judgment inside the P/E's denominator, and the result is divided by a growth rate that is itself unspecified — historical or projected, over one year or five, from whose estimate. It does not repair the P/E's weakness; it multiplies it by a second one. The popular attributions of the ratio — to Peter Lynch's One Up on Wall Street (1989), and earlier to Mario Farina in 1969 — we could not verify against a primary source, so both sit in the Unverified row below.
The P/E of an index is not the P/E of a stock
An index has no earnings per share. Somebody has to decide how to combine hundreds of members, so an index P/E depends on the aggregation method as much as on the market.
Our own arithmetic. Member A: market value $900 billion, annual earnings $30 billion, so P/E 30. Member B: market value $100 billion, annual earnings $20 billion, so P/E 5.
Aggregate. Total value ÷ total earnings = $1,000B ÷ $50B = 20.0.
Cap-weighted average of the members' P/Es. (0.90 × 30) + (0.10 × 5) = 27.0 + 0.5 = 27.5.
Simple average of the members' P/Es. (30 + 5) ÷ 2 = 17.5.
20.0, 27.5 and 17.5 — three published-looking index P/E ratios from the same two companies at the same instant, differing by more than half, purely because of how they were combined.
The aggregate method is the one index providers document. MSCI's fundamental data methodology sums constituent market values over summed constituent per-share figures, and applies an adjustment factor where earnings are negative specifically to “avoid increasing losses artificially in P/E and P/CE calculations at index level.” Turn Member B's $20 billion of earnings into a $20 billion loss and the aggregate becomes $1,000B ÷ $10B = 100.
And because broad indices weight by float-adjusted market capitalization, an index P/E is dominated by its largest members whichever method is used — an index ETF tracking it inherits that concentration exactly.
What is sourced here and what is not
This page mixes rules with habits, and the difference matters more than the content. Every claim above, sorted by what stands behind it.
| Status | Claim | What establishes it |
|---|---|---|
| Confirmed | P/E = current stock price ÷ EPS, with EPS built on the past 12 months of earnings and the common share count | The SEC's Investor.gov glossary, quoted directly. It supplies no threshold and no “good” number. |
| Confirmed | A material non-GAAP measure must be accompanied by the most directly comparable GAAP measure and a reconciliation, may not use individually tailored recognition and measurement, and may not be given undue prominence | Regulation G, 17 CFR § 244.100, statutory basis 15 U.S.C. § 7261(b); SEC Corporation Finance non-GAAP interpretations, Questions 100.04 and 102.10. |
| Confirmed | Analysts underreact to negative information and overreact to positive information, consistent with systematic optimism | Easterwood and Nutt, Journal of Finance 54(5), 1999, quoted directly. |
| Confirmed | A rated research report must disclose the firm's own buy/hold/sell distribution and the share of investment banking clients in each bucket | FINRA Rule 2241(c)(2). |
| Confirmed | CAPE uses a ten-year average of real earnings; its originators warned the regression could not be trusted outside the historical range; Siegel argues GAAP changes biased it pessimistic | Campbell and Shiller, NBER Working Paper 8221, quoted directly; Siegel, Financial Analysts Journal 72(3), 2016. |
| Confirmed | Comparing the market's earnings yield with a nominal bond yield sets a real quantity against a nominal one | Asness, Journal of Portfolio Management 30(1), Fall 2003, quoted directly. |
| Confirmed | Index-level P/E aggregates constituent values over aggregated earnings, with an explicit adjustment where earnings are negative | MSCI Fundamental Data Methodology, quoted directly. |
| Unverified | The commonly cited buy-versus-sell split of analyst ratings; the attribution of PEG to Peter Lynch in 1989 or Mario Farina in 1969 | Nothing traceable to a primary source. Each firm's own rating distribution does exist, in its research reports, by FINRA rule. Named rather than deleted. |
| Convention | Every “good,” “cheap” or “expensive” threshold and the PEG-below-1 marker; that an unlabeled P/E means trailing; that sector and competitor comparison is the right frame | Repetition and reasonable practice. No agency, standards board or exchange publishes any of it, which is why no threshold appears here. |
| Our own arithmetic | Every worked example — Northbay Tool, Crosscut Systems, Harbor Steel, Steadyline, Fastbridge, the near-zero table and the two-stock index | Hypothetical companies with round numbers, computed here. No real company is described and no figure is market data. |
What trips people up
- Comparing two P/E ratios built on different earnings. Trailing against forward, or GAAP against adjusted, is not a comparison. It is the most common error with this ratio and it is invisible on a screener.
- Treating a low multiple as a discount. It is usually a forecast that earnings will fall. Cheap and deteriorating look identical in a P/E column.
- Reading a negative P/E as an expensive stock. A loss-making company has no meaningful P/E at all. Go look at revenue, cash and the balance sheet instead.
- Quoting a P/E on a company earning almost nothing. At a $40 price, five cents of EPS is a P/E of 800 — arithmetic, not information, and a penny either way moves it hundreds of points.
- Buying a cyclical on a low trailing multiple at the top of its cycle. The multiple is lowest exactly when earnings are least sustainable — 10.0 at the peak and 50.0 at the trough above, with the ordering reversing against average earnings.
- Comparing across industries. Capital-intensive and asset-light businesses have differently constructed denominators; depreciation and interest are both subtracted before you reach the number you divide by.
- Taking a forward P/E as a fact. It is a price divided by an estimate with documented optimism in it. A 25% miss turned a stated 15.0 into a real 18.75 above.
- Trusting a headline “adjusted” multiple without opening the reconciliation. Regulation G requires that table to exist, and it explained a P/E of 12 against a P/E of 20 above.
- Applying stock-level intuition to an index P/E. The number depends on the aggregation method — 20.0, 27.5 or 17.5 from the same two companies — and one big loss-making member distorts it enormously.
- Waiting for the ratio to give a verdict. P/E is a price, and prices do not come with instructions.
Frequently asked questions
What is the price-to-earnings ratio?
The price-to-earnings ratio, or P/E, is a company's share price divided by its earnings per share. The SEC's investor education glossary calculates it by dividing the current stock price by the current earnings per share, with earnings per share taken from the earnings of the past 12 months. The most useful way to read it is as a price: a P/E of 20 means you are paying $20 for $1 of annual earnings, or equivalently 20 years of the current rate of profit.
Is a low P/E ratio good?
Not on its own, and often the opposite. A low multiple usually reflects a market expectation that earnings are going to fall, so the low ratio is measuring profit the company may be about to stop making. That is the value trap, and cheap and deteriorating look identical in a screener column. There is also no authority that defines a good, cheap or expensive P/E. Every threshold in circulation is a convention. The comparisons with any content are against the same company's own history, close competitors and its sector.
What is the difference between trailing and forward P/E?
Trailing P/E uses the last four quarters of reported earnings, which the company has filed and signed for. It is a fact, but it can be up to a quarter stale. Forward P/E uses a consensus of analyst estimates for the coming year, which is timely but is a forecast. At a $60 share price, trailing earnings of $3.00 give a P/E of 20 while an estimate of $4.00 gives a forward P/E of 15. Most quoted P/E figures do not say which version they are.
What does a negative P/E ratio mean?
It means the company lost money over the measurement period, so there is no meaningful P/E at all. A negative ratio is not a high P/E and not an expensive stock, because the phrase price of one dollar of earnings presupposes a dollar of earnings. Careful data providers print a blank or an em dash rather than a number. The same applies to earnings near zero: at a $40 share price, EPS of five cents produces a P/E of 800, which is arithmetic rather than information.
What is the difference between a GAAP P/E and an adjusted P/E?
GAAP earnings are the audited bottom line in the filing. Adjusted or pro-forma earnings add items back, commonly stock-based compensation, restructuring charges and acquisition-related amortization, and are almost always higher. A company with $1.50 of GAAP EPS and $2.55 of adjusted EPS at a $30 share price has a P/E of 20 on one basis and 11.8 on the other. Regulation G, 17 CFR 244.100, requires the company to publish a reconciliation between the two, so you can see exactly what was excluded.
What is the CAPE or Shiller P/E?
It is a price-to-earnings ratio built by Robert Shiller with John Campbell that replaces one year of earnings with an average of real, inflation-adjusted earnings over the past ten years. The smoothing is designed to remove the distortion cyclical swings create in a single-year denominator. It is used at the index level rather than for one stock, and its record as a timing tool is disputed. Jeremy Siegel argued in the Financial Analysts Journal in 2016 that changes in GAAP earnings biased it toward pessimism.
Why is the P/E of an index different from the P/E of a stock?
An index has no earnings per share, so somebody has to choose how to combine hundreds of members, and the method changes the answer. Take a two-member index worth $900 billion earning $30 billion and $100 billion earning $20 billion. Aggregating values over earnings gives 20.0, a cap-weighted average of the two members' own P/E ratios gives 27.5, and a simple average gives 17.5. Index providers document the aggregate method, and MSCI applies a special adjustment where a member's earnings are negative.
Related terms
Where to go next
- Read P/E as the first of the nine metrics, each with the way it misleads, and sort live companies by it on Markets · Fundamental — free, no account.
- Learn where the denominator comes from before you trust it: the income statement, then the cash flow statement, in Stages 2 to 4 of Fundamental Analysis.
- Start with what compounding actually does in Stage 4 of the free Financial Literacy course — all five stages are free and an account is optional.
- Run the growth arithmetic on your own money with the investment growth calculator or the compound interest calculator.
- Browse every definition in Learn the Lingo.
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Investor.gov glossary: Price-Earnings (P/E) Ratio — the formula quoted on this page, current stock price divided by current earnings per share, with EPS built from the earnings of the past 12 months and the common share count. Note that the SEC's entry supplies no threshold and no “good” number.
- 17 CFR § 244.100, Regulation G, with its statutory basis at 15 U.S.C. § 7261 (Sarbanes-Oxley § 401) — source for the requirement to present the most directly comparable GAAP measure and a reconciliation alongside any material non-GAAP measure, and for the prohibition on a misleading non-GAAP presentation.
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Division of Corporation Finance, Non-GAAP Financial Measures: Compliance and Disclosure Interpretations — source for Question 100.04 on adjustments that change GAAP recognition and measurement principles being “individually tailored” and potentially misleading, and Question 102.10 on giving a non-GAAP measure undue prominence over the comparable GAAP measure.
- FINRA, Rule 2241, Research Analysts and Research Reports — source for paragraph (c)(2), requiring a research report carrying a rating to disclose the percentage of all the firm's rated securities in each of the buy, hold and sell categories, and the percentage of companies in each category for which the firm provided investment banking services in the previous 12 months.
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Analyzing Analyst Recommendations — source for the warnings quoted on this page that investors should understand the potential conflicts of interest analysts face and should not rely solely on an analyst's recommendation.
- John C. Easterwood and Stacey R. Nutt, “Inefficiency in Analysts' Earnings Forecasts: Systematic Misreaction or Systematic Optimism?”, Journal of Finance 54(5), 1999, pp. 1777–1797 — source for the finding, quoted on this page, that analysts underreact to negative information and overreact to positive information, consistent with systematic optimism.
- John Y. Campbell and Robert J. Shiller, “Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook: An Update”, NBER Working Paper 8221, 2001 — source for the ten-year average of real earnings that defines the cyclically adjusted ratio, and for the authors' own caution, quoted directly, that a linear regression cannot be trusted when the variable has moved far outside its historically observed range. The underlying monthly US series back to 1871 is published free at Shiller's data page.
- Jeremy J. Siegel, “The Shiller CAPE Ratio: A New Look”, Financial Analysts Journal 72(3), 2016, pp. 41–50 — source for the argument that changes in the computation of GAAP earnings biased CAPE's recent readings toward pessimism, and that substituting national income account after-tax corporate profits improves its forecasting performance.
- Clifford S. Asness, “Fight the Fed Model”, Journal of Portfolio Management 30(1), Fall 2003 — source for the criticism quoted on this page that comparing the market's earnings yield with a nominal bond yield sets a real quantity against a nominal one, since nominal corporate earnings already move with inflation. MSCI's Fundamental Data Methodology is the source for index-level ratios being built by aggregating constituent values over aggregated per-share figures, and for the adjustment applied where earnings are negative to “avoid increasing losses artificially in P/E and P/CE calculations at index level.”
The figures on this page are checked against the source that publishes them, and dated. Published rates move after the release named above — the linked source always carries the current number. This page explains a term; it does not recommend a product.